盐穴大规模储氢技术的经济性分析

Economic analysis of large-scale salt cavern hydrogen storage

  • 摘要: 以盐穴储氢为代表的地下储氢技术,具有大规模、低成本、高安全性等优势,已成为全球氢储能体系构建的重要突破口。经济可行性是工程推广的核心要素,尽管现有研究在盐穴储氢关键技术方面取得了重要进展,但其经济性评估仍相对薄弱。鉴于此,梳理了我国氢能产业现状及氢的理化特性,综述了盐穴储氢库稳定性、密封性及氢岩反应等关键问题的研究进展,对比分析了盐穴储氢与储天然气的建库经济性差异,进而对近年来典型地下储氢技术的经济性研究成果进行了全面综述,在此基础上采用模糊综合评价方法对盐穴、内衬岩洞、枯竭气藏及含水层储氢方案进行综合技术经济性评估。结果表明:盐穴储氢库建设成本相对较高,单方库容建设成本约为储天然气的1.5~2.0倍,单位储能规模建设成本约为储天然气的5~6倍,成本较高的主要原因是氢气更不易压缩、渗透能力强、化学活性高、易导致金属氢脆且体积能量密度低;盐穴储氢的全生命周期成本在氢能产业链中占比较低,目前平准化成本约为5.03~11.56元/kg,且随着储氢规模扩大和注采频率提高将进一步降低,由于盐穴储氢未来主要面向间歇性、波动性新能源电力的高频调峰,因此其全生命周期成本将具有很强的竞争力;基于模糊综合评价方法的地下储氢技术与经济评价结果表明,盐穴相比于其他地下储氢方案的综合优势明显,是当前我国最具工程化和产业化推广潜力的地下储氢路径。未来,需结合我国多样化的地质特征和能源布局,构建更符合中国国情的地下储氢经济性分析模型,在此基础上统筹供给与需求,推动我国盐穴储氢产业布局,为国家氢能政策制定提供更科学的依据。

     

    Abstract: Underground hydrogen storage, represented by salt cavern storage, offers advantages of large capacity, low cost, and high safety, and has become a crucial breakthrough in the development of global hydrogen energy storage systems. Economic feasibility is the core factor for engineering deployment. Although significant progress has been made in key technologies of salt cavern hydrogen storage, its economic evaluation remains relatively insufficient. In this context, this study reviews the current status of China’s hydrogen energy industry and the physicochemical properties of hydrogen, summarizes research progress on the stability, gas tightness, and hydrogen–rock interactions of salt cavern storage, and compares the construction economics of hydrogen versus natural gas storage. Furthermore, a comprehensive review of recent advances in the techno-economic analysis of typical underground hydrogen storage technologies is provided. Based on this foundation, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is applied to conduct a systematic techno-economic assessment of salt caverns, lined rock caverns, depleted gas reservoirs, and aquifers. The results indicate that: the construction cost of salt cavern hydrogen storage is relatively high, with the unit storage capacity construction cost approximately 1.5−2.0 times, and the unit energy storage capacity construction cost about 5−6 times that of natural gas storage. The higher cost is primarily attributed to hydrogen’s lower compressibility, strong permeability, high chemical reactivity, susceptibility to inducing hydrogen embrittlement in metals, and low volumetric energy density; the total life-cycle cost of salt cavern hydrogen storage accounts for only a small proportion of the hydrogen industry chain. The current levelized cost is estimated at 5.03−11.56 RMB/kg, and is expected to further decline with increased storage scale and higher injection–withdrawal frequency. Given that salt cavern hydrogen storage is mainly intended for high-frequency load balancing of intermittent and fluctuating renewable power, its total life-cycle cost demonstrates strong competitiveness; the techno-economic evaluation results based on the fuzzy comprehensive method suggest that salt cavern storage has significant comprehensive advantages over other underground hydrogen storage schemes, making it the most promising pathway for large-scale engineering and industrial application in China. Looking ahead, it is necessary to establish an economic analysis model for underground hydrogen storage tailored to China’s diverse geological conditions and energy layout, so as to better coordinate supply and demand, promote the strategic deployment of salt cavern hydrogen storage, and provide scientific support for national hydrogen energy policymaking.

     

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