多约束条件下瓦斯抽采管网精准实时解算及达标分析方法

Precise real-time solution and compliance analysis method for coalbed methane extraction pipeline networks under multiple constraints

  • 摘要: 瓦斯抽采管网的实时精准解算是保障抽采系统合理高效运行的关键基础,如何确定管网中各节点的负压分配并准确开展达标分析是目前需要解决的难点。为了实现准确的瓦斯抽采达标评判,提出了抽采管网精准实时解算方法与基于解算数据的达标分析方法。针对监测数据中存在噪声干扰与系统偏差,构建自适应卡尔曼滤波与质量流守恒数据平差模型,实现抽采流量监测数据的高精度预处理。构建泵站、钻场的动态边界约束及管网内部传感器约束,建立多约束条件下的二元混合气体流动模型,并采用改进牛顿法高效求解全网流量、体积分数与节点压力。构建煤层参数反演与抽采达标评判模型,在管网解算结果的基础上实现煤层透气性系数反演、达标指标计算与达标时间预测。通过在现场开展试验研究,对解算方法与达标分析预测方法的可靠性进行验证。结果表明:对比分析4种传统求解方法,融合卡尔曼滤波与质量守恒平差的改进牛顿法,能够有效改善传统方法难以收敛或迭代时间过长的问题,解算流量、压力和体积分数误差分别为5.168%、1.069 7%、2.804 9%,可为后续抽采达标提供可靠数据;煤层透气性系数反演结果与抽采达标评判结果和现场一致;达标时间预测具有较高准确性,可在预测天数内确保实现抽采达标。研究结果对提高瓦斯抽采效率具有重要意义,为后续实现瓦斯抽采智能调控与优化提供了数学模型基础与关键算法支撑。

     

    Abstract: Real-time and accurate calculation of gas extraction pipeline networks is essential for ensuring the sound and efficient operation of gas extraction systems. However, the determination of negative-pressure distribution at individual nodes and the accurate assessment of gas extraction compliance remain challenging. To achieve accurate gas extraction compliance assessment, a high-precision real-time pipeline-network calculation method and a compliance analysis method based on the calculated data are proposed. To address noise interference and systematic deviations in monitoring data, a data reconciliation model integrating adaptive Kalman filtering with mass-flow conservation is developed for the high-accuracy preprocessing of monitored gas extraction flow data. Dynamic boundary constraints at pumping stations and drilling sites, together with internal sensor constraints, are incorporated into a binary gas-mixture flow model under multiple constraints. An improved Newton method is employed to efficiently determine the network-wide flow rate, gas concentration, and nodal pressure. A coal seam parameter inversion and gas extraction compliance assessment model is established, through which the coal seam permeability coefficient is inversely determined, compliance indicators are calculated, and the time required to achieve compliance is predicted based on the pipeline-network calculation results. Field experiments are conducted to verify the reliability of the proposed pipeline-network calculation and compliance prediction methods. The results show that, compared with four conventional solution methods, the improved Newton method incorporating Kalman filtering and mass-conservation-based data reconciliation effectively overcomes the difficulties of poor convergence and excessive computational time encountered by conventional methods. The relative errors in the calculated flow rate, pressure, and gas concentration are 5.168%, 1.0697%, and 2.8049%, respectively, indicating that reliable data are provided for subsequent gas extraction compliance assessment. Good agreement with field observations is obtained for both the inverted coal seam permeability coefficient and the gas extraction compliance assessment results. High accuracy is also achieved in predicting the time required for compliance, and gas extraction compliance is achieved within the predicted period. The results are of great significance for improving gas extraction efficiency and provide a mathematical modeling basis and key algorithmic support for the intelligent control and optimization of gas extraction systems.

     

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